Clippers rally to down Portland

Basketball Betting Lines

02/17/2012 - Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Blake Griffin scored 21 points and pulled down 14 rebounds, as the Los Angeles Clippers outlasted Portland, 74-71.

Mo Williams added 17 points and six boards off the bench, while Chris Paul chipped in with 13 points and six rebounds for the Clippers, who have won four of five.

Nicolas Batum and Jamal Crawford led Portland with 19 points apiece, while Wesley Matthews posted 16 points. Raymond Felton didn't score in just over 24 minutes, finishing 0-for-7 from the floor for Portland, which has lost three of four and squandered an 18-point lead in the third quarter.

Portland raced out to an early lead, scoring eight of the final 10 points to take a 27-20 advantage into the second quarter. Crawford's trey with 5.9 ticks to go capped the scoring in the first stanza.

The Trail Blazers then rattled off the first eight points in the second quarter, claiming a 35-22 advantage on Thomas' mid-range jumper. The lead got as high as 15 points and stood at 43-32 after 24 minutes of game action.

Just like the second period, Portland jumped out strong to increase its lead in the third quarter. Matthews' three and Gerald Wallace's layup completed a quick 7-0 burst for a 50-32 edge. The Clippers responded with the next eight, but couldn't get closer than the 60-52 margin they faced entering the fourth quarter.

It didn't take long for the Clippers to make things interesting, drawing within 66-64 on Paul's layup with just over five minutes to go and taking the lead just over a minute later on Williams' trey. Paul followed with a three- pointer to cap an 8-0 burst, and the margin grew to 72-67 with 1:05 to play on a Paul pull-up jumper.

Matthews kept Portland in the game with a tough trey, but Williams calmly sank two free throws for a 74-70 game with 18.7 seconds remaining and the Clippers hung on from there.

Game Notes

The Clippers made just 38.5 percent of their shots, but Portland wasn't any better, making 38 percent of its shots and scoring just 28 points in the second half...The Clippers had lost six of their last seven contests with Portland before Thursday's win.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.